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Coates is a regular feature at World Future Society conferences. Last year I heard him give an 8-part lecture series last year on scenarios of life and business in 2025, and later bought the cassette series.
Now he and his colleagues have brought out the book on the subject. It taps the worlds of science, technology, and engineering to look at the thirty year period of 1995 to 2025. Written in the form of a history book in 2025, Coates gives fifteen scenarios which reflect what life will be like in the United States as well as other societies (both affluent and less prosperous).
* Smart Living / house and home of the future * Information: The Global Commodity / integration of telecommunications * Harvesting the Fruit of Genetics / biotechnology * Powering Three Worlds /energy technology and efficiency * The World of Things/ materials technology * Working Toward a Sustainable World /environmental strategies and tools * Managing the Planet/ macroengineering the environment * Putting Space to Work /cooperation and commercialization of space * Our Built World/ infrastructure and construction * People and Things on the Move / transportation * The World of Production / custom manufacturing * A Quest for Variety and Sufficiency / food and agriculture * Striving for Good Health / disease prevention and life enhancement * Our Days and Our Lives / quality of life movement * Balancing Work and Leisure / lifestyle and entertainment
One added feature to *2025* is that at the end of each chapter, Coates lists the "Critical Developments, 1990-2025," plus the "Unrealized Hopes and Fears" of each field he covers.
*2025* is the best information rich and researched mid-range scenario for the future I have read. It also is enjoyable reading. I have sharing bits and pieces with my son ! and daughter who will be 41 and 39 in the year 2025. They get a kick out of hearing about computer "knowbots," toys made with "smart materials," or machine "language coaches." But *2025* is far deeper than just a preview of future gadgets.
This book could be a veritable field guide to your next 30 years, especially if you are in business, an entrepreneur, a person responsible for planning, or engaged in scientific and technical issues.
I am using it right now as a help in writing radio commercials which illustrate futures thinking for upcoming millennial celebrations.
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1.Logical order The order to display the topics in this book is logical and consistent. This is important for self-study users. At the beginning of each chapter, there's always a paragraph or two summarize the main points that are going to present in the chapter. This gives the reader a whole picture.
2. Clear explanation and examples The book uses easy explanatory languages and the examples are very representative. Each example, the author is showing us every detail steps, so it is easy to follow.
3.Relevant exercises and problems. At the end of each chapter, there are questions that can help to reinforce the concepts. Most questions can be found directly from the material. There are also exercises and problems that are related to the topic presented in the chapter. I remember there is an accounting book I used before that the problems required more knowledge than the chapter actually covered. This not the case in this book. Some of the examples in the chapter could be used as quick reference while working on the problems, too.
The only thing I would recommend, if I need to find some, is that I hope there could be more real life issues mentioned in the book. In this way, readers can relate the knowledge to daily life even closer.
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In this work, the old Greek myth is dusted off, given a thorough polishing and made into a lively and entertaining children's story. While Banks takes extreme liberties with the myth, the result is something so fresh and fun it doesn't matter. King Midas is transformed from a greedy miser to someone who simply has an obsession with gold (among other things, like growing roses). His quest to save his daughter, whom he turned into gold quite by accident, becomes an exciting adventure in which Midas is tested and changed. Along the way, he meets a mumbo (think baby dragon), defeats an evil witch, clears the throat of Old Gollop, saves a magician and learns the importance of a flandy-bake.
A very fun, fleshed out fairy tale filled with Banks' usual wit. If you like this one, also try her other fantasies.
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On the other hand, I found the sections on how salmon take flies, and wet-fly and dry-fly fishing methods useful.
The writing on salmon flies and their history is fascinating.
This is my first book on the topic so I can't say how it compares with others.
Beyond the value of having a cool looking GM's screen, and beyond the value of having all those nifty little charts on the back, you'll get an extra packet of info inside the shrinkwrap.
This packet contains extra information on the various major races' political stances. (except the Vorlon's, of course!) It also gives a few more hints about the raiders and (in a couple of loose leaves) standard icons, logos, and fonts for Earthforce and the Babylon project, as well as icons for all the major races (including the Vorlons!)
Oh yes, it is also prone to come with a dinky card to try and get you hooked on the _Babylon_5_ card game. I use mine as a bookmark.
You've already spent too much, give in. Buy this too.
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Joseph Heller has writen a thorough book of the diplomatic history of the Yishuv, with Ben-Gurion at its head, from the end of WWII until the end of the War of Independence. Both its foreign relationships (with the US and USSR, for example), and the internal struggles within the Zionist camp are given extensive treatment.
I was impressed by Ben-Gurion's pragmatism and his ability to bind many disparate groups together, as well as his keen eye. Ben-Gurion comes off in this book not as the conspiratorial knave of the New Historians, but a pragmatic national leader, no worse than others, trying under difficult circumstances to look out for the Yishuv's interests.
Indeed, this book manages to properly explain the alleged "collusion" claim between the Yishuv and Abdallah I. Efraim Karsh has already managed to destroy Shlaim's claim that the Abdallah-Meir meeting reached an agreement to divide the country, and this is an extra nail in that coffin.
In order to demonstrate that Ben-Gurion had the right idea and tht his critics were wrong, Heller gives each of them a whole chapter on their appoach to the conflict during that period.
First to go is Ihud, that group of intellectuals who objected to the partition plan and supported a bi-national scheme instead. This group, although they had good intentions, were hopelessly out of touch with reality. The Yishuv saw them as traitors, and the only Arab leader willing to agree to binational regime, albeit probably not with equal numbers, had little power and was quickly assasinated.
Heller deals also with those to the right and left of Ben-Gurion. While his treatment is generally fair, I felt that he hel some deep animosity towards the right wing (the revisionists, the Etzel).
His treatment of Deir Yassin is way off base - Begin not only knew of the operation, he specifically ordered that civilians not be harmed. Furthermore, Begin never admitted that a massacre took place there, let alone brag about its effectiveness (See Deir Yassin: History of A Lie published by ZOA). His portrayal of Lord Moyne is also inaccurate.
Heller's treatment of the left-wing is more fair-minded. In sum, one should read this critique of the right wing against something more symathetic.
That's the good news. The bad news is that Heller's book is very weak and even self-contradictory when it comes to the war itself, and the Palestinian Refugee problem in particular. He seems to be sayins - "Benny Morris is right, but one must put things into context". There is no mention of Shabtai Teveth's or Efraim Karsh's rebuttal's to aspects of Morris's work.
Worse, while Heller at one point says that Morris was right not to give undue importance to Plan D as a factor in the war, at another point he claims that Plan D can be seen within the context of "ethnic cleansing". Which is the right answer?
The absurdity of this comes to the point where Heller treats with scepticism the claim by various Zionists that the Arabs were running away due to fright (which was at least partially true), and gives undue importance to the few expulsions that took place on the eve of the invasion-as if it were the main cause (see "Why did the Palestinians Run Away in 1948" by Yoav Gelber, at mideasttruth.com, for a good overview of what happened).
There are other problems with the book - the treatment of the strength of opposing forces (Arab & Israeli) is scattered, the treatment of the Holocaust bothin general and as a background to the "Revolt" of Menahem Begin and other events is played down, and Heller fails to sufficiently stress the total and uncompromising refusal of the Palestinians to agree to a Jewish state of any shape or size. It also would have been nice if Heller had given a more thorough treatment to his argument with the "New Historians", instead of just a short appendix.
All this aside, Heller's book is an important and informative work of history, and it demonstrates the greatness and foresight of one of the Jewish people's great leaders - David Ben-Gurion.
Many Traditional Jews believe that the established Jewish state was mandated by G-d afther the Holocaust. During the Holocaust, Adolf Hitler, Chancaller of Germany order in his "Final Soluation". Hitler believed that the Jews were evil incarned, and driven by there own greed. He called for the death of ever Jew, including all Jewish children. For the next six years Jewish men, women, and children marched to there death by fire, the Holocaust. An estimated six million Jews were murdered in Hitler's regime.
The aftherwrath of the Holocaust changed the Jewish thought forever. The murder of nearly half of the Jewish population has made many Jews question G-d. Where was G-d? Some Jews lost there faith in G-d by arriving the the conclusion that "A G-d could have not this happen. How can G-d let such a thing happen"? Although some have lost there faith, most Jews haven't. As a noted Jewish thinker once said " The question is not were was G-d, but where was man"?
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Clearly this book requires a strong stomach to read but for those interested in real life Hannibal Lecters and what happens to people driven to the depths of hunger that modern man rarely knows, it is an essential read.
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The most ridiculous charge Joseph Horowitz makes in this book, that Toscanini was somehow manpilated by RCA/NBC's public relations departments is simply ludicrous. Toscanini was RCA's best selling conductor, for the simple reason that he raised artistic standards to hitherto unrealized levels. Horowitz is certainly right in the assertion that his recordings with the NBC Symphony were some of the most bizarre recordings in history, sonically. (Digital remastering has improved the situation, somewhat.) Yet, by limiting himself to the NBC years, Horowitz ignores his previous associations with the New York Philharmonic, not to mention the La Scala Orchestra. (It is worth noting that Toscanini's first recordings, made in 1920 during the La Scala Orchestra's North American tour, took place at precisely the midpoint of Toscanini's career.) So, he's basing his opinion of Toscanini's art on the last 17 years of a 58 year career! Imagine basing one's opinion of Toscanini's son-in-law, Vladimir Horowitz (no relation to the author) only on recordings made after 1972, or Arthur Rubinstein on recordings made only after 1959!
Horowitz' descriptions of Toscanini's conducting (ten of Toscanini's concerts withe the NBC Symhpony were telecast) are amateurish, and betray scant knowledge of the art of conducting.
This book is poorly researched, completely subjective, and highly biased against Arturo Toscanini. For a more objective analysis, try Harvey Sachs' two excellent books.
Horowitz portrays the beloved and tempestuous conductor as a carefully packaged and sold cultural superstar. I wonder if he's not a little ahead of himself on that one -- we're talking pre- during and post WWII here. Of course Toscanini's association with the NBC Orchestra paid off in a variety of ways but Horowitz seems to have forgotten the great conductor's incredible sensitivity to the music and the composers that he interpreted.
I enjoyed this book immensely but can't agree with the author in a number of respects. Toscanini's fame was, quite obviously, a direct result of his talent, drive and the love audiences had for his interpretation of the music. Those are the facts, pure and simple.
The book, however, deserves an unprejudiced and thoughtful reading.