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Alesina and his colleagues begin with an intellectual map of opportunistic and partisan theories, for each of which there are traditional models with an exploitable Phillips curve and models that are consistent with rational expectations. The conclusions are that the rational choice and rational expectations theories are more successful than their more traditional predecessors and that the partisan model is more successful than the opportunistic model in explaining macroeconomic behavior. That is, the designated winner on both theoretical and empirical grounds is "rational partisan theory," of which the leading scholar is Alberto Alesina himself. The theories are tested with data for the United States and for most of the developed economies in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)....
Although the book's empirical work pertains to most OECD nations, there is a separate chapter devoted to political cycles in the United States. Descriptive data regarding inflation, unemployment, and growth are presented, organized by party and position in the electoral cycle. Hypotheses are tested on data for the period from 1947 through 1994. Results support the rational partisan theory and fail to support opportunistic electoral cycle hypotheses. For nonspecialists the most telling evidence in favor of the "rational partisan" theory, as opposed to the traditional theory, is that differences between the parties on unemployment and growth are confined to the first half of administrations, in response to the element of surprise in electoral outcomes, but the differences dissipate in the second half.
"Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy" is a state-of-the-art presentation of an important field bridging economics and political science. Although the technical level of the book is high (some chapters have more than a score of equations), the book is accessible to serious readers and will be rewarding to them. It simultaneously advances the study of macroeconomics and the study of political processes and institutions. It is a fine book.
Hercule Poirot is teamed with Mrs. Oliver, a crime novelist, to find the truth of a 15-20 year old murder/suicide. Mrs. Oliver's goddaughter, Celia is the daughter of the couple who supposedly entered this pact. For the first one-half of the book, we are not advanced an inch in any direction. Many people are interviewed (the "elephants" of the title) and most have vague memories of the couple, as does Mrs. Oliver herself. Mrs. O's dithering is not artlessly charming, for we are as confused as she. Saddest cut of all, the red herrings are not "herrings" at all. They are giant signposts. Rather than Poirot gracefully unraveling the mystery on the last page, the reader has left him in the dust 50 pages ago. The prose has a distinctly purplish hue.
According to the publisher, "Elephants Can Remember" was originally published as "Five Little Pigs." I do not recommend this book, because it does not do Dame Agatha justice. There are 75 titles to choose that will far better reflect her abilities and why she earned the title "Queen of Crime."
The problem was at first vague; Ariadne Oliver was asked by a stranger if the mother of Ariadne's goddaughter killed the father, or was it vice-versa. The deaths were actually some twenty years or more before. As the stranger was the mother to a man who was contemplating marriage to Ariadne's goddaughter, she could be partially forgiven for her apparent concern. Of course one of the things Ariadne did was to call on Hercule Poirot, and together they embarked on elephant-chase to pry for secrets from the past.
"Elephants can remember" was published in 1972, that is 52 years after the first Poirot novel "The Mysterious Affairs at Styles". Many people did not even live that long. Agatha Christie aged her characters along with the years, and therefore there were cases that were different from bodies being found all over the place.
Other similar novels before this whereby Christie's detectives investigate deaths long in the past included Dumb Witness, Five Little Pigs, Mrs McGinty's Dead, Ordeal By Innocence, and Nemesis. The common theme among them was that the investigator(s) had to depend on memories of various people who might not even be present; but from their recollections, clues were found to provide either the definitive picture of the culprits or the definitive picture of the crime. What a lot of impatient readers would find irritating was having to sift through the useful information from the useless. Elephants is such another tale.
Mystery veterans would probably have been able to jump to the solution before Poirot's grand finale, but would they have been able to unravel the threads in the manner necessary? Proofs have to be gathered, and evidence, motivation, etc were all the necessary persuasions for Elephants before they would give up their secrets.
The meat and drink of this novel is more than solving the mystery of who killed who, but to recapture the atmosphere, the mood, the aura of that time in the past, and to be able to put events in their proper perspectives. Also no less important was Poirot's being able to relate the past (in its correct perspective) and its impact on the present in order for persuade the elephants to give up their secrets.
This is Mrs. Oliver's final appearance in a Christie novel and also the last Poirot book Agatha Christie wrote, although readers will see him again in "Curtain" which she wrote during the 1940's but was not published until 1975.
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To understand in what ways this is much more than that, one needs to read it to the last page. The most intriguing aspect of it, is the triangle formed by Matteo Colombo, the anatomist, Ines de Torremolinos, the pious Florentine widow and Mona Sofia, the classy Venetian prostitute--and what became of each at the end.
Boludo is an Argentine word literally meaning "chutzpah" but also describes an "idiot" in liberal interpretation. Well, this is a boludo book in a literal sense...
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If this is your goal then the book may be worth it. If your goal is general walking for health and exercise then there are better books out there.
I use the treadmill for interval training and have already seen improvements in my speed and endurance.
I have a treadmill at my office and thanks to this book I have a greater appreciation of it's strengths as an exercise and conditioning tool.
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The review of Donna Seaman above is absolutely ridiculous. John Polidori did exist and he is the author of "The Vampyre," the novel that paved the way for all the future vampyre novels, with Bram Stoker's "Dracula" at its peak. From where does she believe that Polidori is an original Andahazi character can only be explained by laziness: the first five results after querying google for John William Polidori tell the whole story.
I only write this review to prevent other readers to spend their time and money in a silly and disgusting book.
This book is a fantastic parody of the Gothic genre; the dark stormy nights, the mysterious castle and the heaving,storm-tossed lake... all in all, a tremendous read for anyone who enjoys Gothic tales or their parodies. Although sometimes graphic, the story is gripping and the elements of historical truth are enough to keep you interested right up to the thrilling and unexpected end. The book is filled with dark irony, and the intertextual references to the Gothic genre and the creation of that monstrous, classic tale Frankenstien, are witty and clever, but the book can be enjoyed on many levels. I would highly recommend this book, and have bought multiple copies for all of my friends.
Instructors take notice that the electronic solutions to the problem sets have many errors. There are also many errors not acknowledged in the book's errata. (Errata hasn't been updated for 1 year).
It covers a broad range of topics some to details and some just a scratch. It is very easy to understand and that's where it gets boring!(too much story writing) however, you can be sure that you can understand a topic fully by reading that chapter. Almost no point is left unclear.
It is a very good encyclopedia for this field. I would suggest buying it if you would like introductory stuff plus a bit of technical details but not too gory!
A very good book , overall....:-)
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But this book is pretty good to have on hand.
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The 18 stories' authors are a good blend of the long-dead and still breathing, the eminent and the obscure, mostly Western, but not all. The famous Lord Dunsany starts things off with an exquisite--if harmless--story to set the table. Faulker, Saki, and some long-dead German named von Kleit proceed to muck things up with three forgettable tales (the first two involving animals) before Frederick Forsyth gets things back on track with "There Are No Snakes In Ireland."
A Canadian (Ken Miller) and the eminent E.L. Doctrow muddle through two forgettable stories before Bram Stoker's entertaining, though predictable, "The Squaw" (which involves yet another animal). Argentinean Isidoro Blaisten and Mexican Edmundo Valades contribute neat little pieces, sandwiching a rather forgettable Rudyard Kipling tale. The Irish author, William Trevor, contributes a brilliant piece of comeuppence in "Torridge," which is followed by a somewhat contrived letter by Kafka's father, as conceived by Nadine Gordimer.
Borges is Borges in "Emma Zunz", and once again, I fail to see what the big deal is. Edgar Allen Poe's "Hop-Frog" is as solid and bloody a tale of revenge you would expect. Then follows the longest piece, by a 19th-century Frenchman, d'Aurevilly, which suffers from being overwritten and overblown (of its time, one suspects). August Derleth's "Miss Esperson" reads like an X-File, but thankfully Roger Louis Steveson's "The Isle of Voices" ends the volume on a sound note. So, pick and choose.
The empirical tests to distinguish between various models of political business cycles and partisan theory have been justly criticized. The authors could have made an important contribution by altering their work to properly incorporate the critics, but instead simply restate the problems, pay a little lip service to the issues, and then proceed to ignore them without proper justification.