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The setting, Toronto about 1970, is sweet, almost quaint. The world was much quieter before the advent of 24-hour news services and the Internet, as Wright aptly shows. (The novel was first published in 1970, so it is a novel of the times, not a period piece.) The sexual and office politics are on the money. The characters are believable. They are everyone we know.
A fine novel, but not a masterpiece, not the great Canadian novel. A good read, all the same.
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The latter chapters cover time series regression, seasonal decomposition methods, exponential smoothing and Box-Jenkins methods. But this book does not include nonlinear time series models and it overlooks the recent and popular state space approach to time series modeling. Multivariate time series methods are also left out, though perhaps they are more appropriate for an advanced or second course in time series analysis.
The cookbook nature of the text can be found in the guidelines given for Box-Jenkins model identification. The statistical theory that the methods rely on is avoided. Although a number of important probability distributions are used with their relevant statistical tables, the underlying assumptions and distributional theory is completely avoided. Important concepts such as the central limit theorem and the concept of a stationary stochastic process are given only very brief treatment. Other concepts are oversimplified to avoid the need for the development of any distribution theory.
This book will serve well for a course in which the student is interested in how to implement exponential smoothing and the general class of Box-Jenkins models through the use of standard statistical packages. However if the instructor wants depth of understanding the text is not adequate. Frequecy domain methods often useful in engineering applications are not even discussed.
While the book covers forecasting applications, it does not consider applications to decomposition of variance or discriminant analysis. Time series methods are also applicable in these contexts. Abraham and Ledolter (1984) "Statistical Methods for Forecasting" cover the same topics but in much greater depth. Also Janacek and Swift (1993) "Time Series: Forecasting, Simulation, Applications" is slightly more advanced and provides broader coverage. Anyone interested in the theory can consult a number of good books including the latest edition of Brockwell and Davis "Time Series: Theory and Methods". Shumway and Stoffer (2000) "Time Series Analysis and Its Applications" is up-to-date, comprehensive and has many good engineering applications.
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The secondary problem would be that of Bruce Jones's story. This is definitly not one of his best offerings to go along with Corben's artwork.
If the book would have been published in color I'm sure I would have given it a 5 star rating because of Corben's breathtaking color art. However, with this effort in black and white, and the weak story (which could have been overcome with color art) the best I can give is 3 stars out of 5.
The section on vineyard costs details year by year expenses from start-up through year 7. I also found the feasibility and finance section very helpful in starting up my own winery. The section on government regulations was very helpful in warning any prospective winery owners of what the ATF and state regulators expect. There are plenty of examples of good record keeping that various governments expect you to keep on hand at all times.
Of course this book also has 117 pages of good winemaking details along with good sections on microbiology, winery equipment, barrels and label designs. If this book has any obvious fault it would be that it does not go deep enough into some of these subjects, but then it would be thousands of pages long instead of the 440 pages it is.
An all around great book on winemaking and the rest of the business that goes with a winery and it's operation. This book has lots of good business information in it that I have not seen in any other winemaking book. I recommend it for anyone who not only wants to make great wine but also is serious about starting his own commercial winery.
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who did much of the work to build this country in its early days and, while the opprtunity was there, given nothing in return. "Patriot Sage" is an excellent insight into many aspects of Washington's life of which I was ignorant (like his influence on the Constitutional Convention) Sadly, some of its essays are too right-wing, to the point of Clinton bashing. What modern era president could really live up to the accomplishments of the one who defined the job's parameters ? One essay focuses on the moral symbolism of Washington now devoid in today's presidents, while another openly admits he gambled and sought prostitutes. To be read overall with some perspective.
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The book is fraught with sexual tension, as the Hackers make various shocking overtures to the Bannisters, either as a sort of tag-team, or individually, when the other isn't looking. Ted Hacker in particular seems to delight in childish mindgames. Philip finds himself in a terrible position when he wishes the Hackers would disappear--their aggravating, disruptive presence becomes more and more intolerable--only to see his wife joining their camp, so to speak, and accusing him of being a wet blanket.
Incidents erupting between the two couples are at times amusing, and at times riotous, but there is always a touch of the unsettling. Ted Hacker is creepily persistent in his psycho-torture of Philip, and Philip, in turn, slowly develops into a narrator on the edge, who becomes like a firecracker waiting to explode. When things between these tourists do come to a head--when Philip can take no more of his vacation from hell--the final chapters seem a bit hasty. Philip makes a leap that perhaps is not fully explained. Sure, we've seen him endure degradation, but we are not provided with the internal workings of his mind, as this narrator is pushed to a wicked deed of, what, revenge?--insanity?--closure and return to peace? Hard to say why our narrator does what he does in the final pages. Nevertheless, the book mostly succeeds as some kind of comic-crime novel with a disturbing edge to it.