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Be forewarned: the book is densely written (Jagdish saves his spare words for his polemics), and generations of graduate students have told me that they hate it. Big deal. This is the castor oil of international trade theory -- open up and drink it down -- it's good for you.
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Can protectionism be justified , either as a first-best or as a second-best policy?
Is there any truth behind the allegation that the Japanese system is rigged to preclude foreign competition?
Is trade responsible for the plight of the unskilled Western proletariat? Or is technological change the major causal factor? Is the average price of labor-intensive goods actually rising or falling in the free-trade world? Bhagwati says" The pressure on the wages at the bottom is overwhelmingly due to domestic technical change; the job insecurity in the middle and at the top is primarily due to the Global Age. "
Does the new "blue" and "green" protectionism pass intellectual scrutiny? Is the "fair trade before free trade" slogan as morally sharp as it appears, or does it fail to consider all moral alternatives?
Does growth lead to deteriorating environment? Or is this sloppy thinking unsupported by empirical data? What does the data say?
Will free trade lead to a "race to the bottom" in environmental standards? Or will the rising consciousness about environmentalism throughout the world , even in poor countries like India(with an environment-friendly Supreme Court, for instance) , prevent such a thing? In other words, is the "race to the bottom" a mere theoretical possibility or a real practical danger? Will countries really lower environmental standards drastically to reduce cost of business? Or will other factors like tax incentives dominate over environmental regulation during investment decisions, thereby leaving the "race to the bottom" a mere theoretical fear ? Similarly will there be a real as opposed to a theoretical race to the bottom regarding labor standards?
Does it make sense to prescribe "one size fits all" enviro standards for different countries in different stages of development, like less developed countries ? Or uniform labor standards? Would many other countries then be right in demanding that the US, where worker and union protections are really weak, should pass different labor laws than it has at the moment? Should countries at a level of development of the US at the beginning of the 20th century be forced to adopt enviro and labor standards that weren't adopted in the West until recently? As Bhagwati says in the book " Mexico has a greater social incentive than does the United States to spend an extra dollar preventing dysentery rather than reducing lead in gasoline ".
Two quotes from the book
"Environmentalists have cause for concern. Not all concerns are legitimate, however, and not all the solutions to legitimate concerns are sensible. "
"It is surely tragic that the proponents of two of the great causes of the 1990s, trade and the environment, should be locked in combat. The conflict is largely gratuitous. There are at times philosophical differences between the two that cannot be reconciled, as when some environmentalists assert nature's autonomy, whereas most economists see nature as a handmaiden to humankind. For the most part, however, the differences derive from misconceptions. It is necessary to dissect and dismiss the more egregious of these fallacies before addressing the genuine problems."
Bhagwati also punctures "zero-sum" win-lose scary movies of globalization , not just by pointing to the win-win nature of trade based on comparative advantage analysis, but also by pointing to fallacies underlying arguments that call for promoting so called "high value-added" industries.
Discussions of globalization often founder on ideological rocks, and cool dispassionate analysis is short in coming. If one is to carry away one message from this book, it is that trade does not have to be viewed through "left-wing" or "right-wing" glasses. Cool-headed analysis is called for on an instrument that has the potential for doing do much good to so many. Another lesson to carry away from this book, I think, is that "free trade" is not some knee-jerk accompaniment to "free markets" , so that everytime you say one , you also say the other - the case for free trade is based on careful analysis based on comparative advantage. Redistributive effects of trade , like hurting unskilled workers in one country at the expense of skilled workers in the same country, are a theoretical possibility. Only empirircal data can show if this effect is large , or small and swamped by other effects like technology.
In a world where we are innundated with books by some "expert" or the other mouthing his or her own analysis of the globalized world, as a layman I would much rather trust this TIP OF THE ICEBERG backed by solid academic thinking.
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This collection is a collection of more recent essays. To a large extent he deals with much of the same issues as in Stream of Windows - are Free Trade Agreements ( what he calls Preferential Trade Agreements) really free trade? Is the "blue" and "green" protectionism based on solid arguments or incomplete analysis? etc
The one new section is on Capital Controls. There is a series of articles , especially his famous/notorious Foreign Affairs article, where he argues that while trade in goods and services has gains that have been demonstrated, those in short-term capital haven't been so unambiguously demonstrated. Therefore he advises restraint about capital account convertibility to those who haven't done so already. His caution is based not just on the irrationalities of the 97 East Asia crisis , but also on careful analyses by several economists which show that speculators who bet against a country's fundamentals are not (necessarily) punished. They can actually change the fundamentals. Therefore short-term capital flow can have noxious effects not associated with trade in goods and services.
Anyway, good collection, yes repetitive (as another reader says) like the Stream of Windows , but ultimately good reading about careful thoughts on globalization , as opposed to all this pop-literature floating around. Some intellectual discipline for a layman like me.
If only all those opposing free trade would feel a need to inform themselves, this book could help (as could a basic course in macroeconomics). But this book is compiled of several all too similar essays, which is why I hope Bhagwati writes more soon. Reading this book is like dipping only your toe in the water on a hot summer day.
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There are also many very valuable footnotes that can lead you to deeper reading on the subject of the current state of thinking on the very important topic of Free Trade.
Dr. Bhagwati is a stalwart of Free Trade and has the intellectual and verbal firepower to stand up for this very important concept and its role in relieving poverty around the world. He isn't a beautiful writer, but he certainly is effective and I am so glad to be able to have his writing and thinking available to me.
This book is a fine addition and should be read by those on both sides of this issue with an open mind. Dr. Bhagwati is one of those important thinkers that will benefit your own thinking even when you disagree with them because it will force you to sharpen your own thinking and force you to build better arguments.
One of the great parts of the first essay is when he takes us through the sequence of thought as arguments were put forward, successfully attacked and new models were built, attacked, and re-built until the present day. He is also very honest about the current weaknesses in present models and possible paths to pursue as a way to solve them. Just very valuable stuff.
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