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Book reviews for "Berry,_Brian_Joe_Lobley" sorted by average review score:

Long-Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Behavior
Published in Paperback by Johns Hopkins Univ Pr (December, 1991)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $21.95
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A compelling examination of the long wave...
Berry examines the factors associated with the long wave (Kondratiev Wave) and its sub-wave cousin the Kuznets Cycle as they affect the growth of city-building and overall economic growth and decline in the U.S. since the beginning of the republic.

According to Berry, the "stagflation peak" of 1981 will eventually give way to a recession/depression trough sometime between 2006-12. Contrary to the otherworldly optimism and manic expectations of Wall Street and the American public at large, Berry expects a deflationary cycle to begin at any time (March 1998), resulting in mass restructuring and dislocation that will require most of the next decade to resolve.

Following the trough around 2010, however, Berry expects the K-Wave and Kuznets cycles to resume their growth period, which is expected to rise into the growth period peak in the early 2030s.

In the context of A. Gary Shilling's "Deflation...", one would be wise to seriously consider reallocating his or her investment portfolio to perpare for a severe decline in stock prices (50% or more by 2002), in order to avoid the serious losses associated with the Kuznets deceleration wave and the collapse portion of the K-Wave. Bonds will be an attractive alternative to stocks following the panic and collapse phase, as interest rates will dramatically fall as will consumer prices throughout the next decade.

Highly recommended
The topic of this book is the economic cycle called the long wave or Kondratiev cycle. The Russian economist Kondratiev did not discover these cycles, but he was the first to study them in detail. Long waves may be responsible for various long term trends: the slow down in productivity growth and wages after 1973, the "Reagan revolution", Toynbee's cycles of War and Peace, stock cycles (my focus) and others. This is the reason why people study them. The idea that long waves are major factors in these trends (or that they are even relevant at all) is controversial. Berry's book represents a modern day treatment of this topic.

I bought this book when I was researching the Kondratiev cycle as a possible explanation for stock market cycles (see my book Stock Cycles for more information). Berry presents an excellent overview of the longwaves literature in a single moderately-priced volume, and it is an excellent place to start a serious study of long waves. What I really liked about the book was the strongly empirical flavor where historical inflation and GDP data were smoothed and plotted in various ways that really "bring the cycles out". The focus is on letting the data "tell their own story", which was most refreshing in my opinion.


America's Utopian Experiments: Communal Havens from Long-Wave Crises (The Nelson A. Rockefeller Series in Social Science and Public Policy)
Published in Hardcover by Dartmouth College (November, 1992)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $45.00
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A Bibliographic Guide to the Economic Regions of the United States: A Report Prepared for the Commission on Methods of Economic Regionalization of th
Published in Textbook Binding by Greenwood Publishing Group (June, 1975)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley, Berry
Amazon base price: $15.00
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The Changing Shape of Metropolitan America: Commuting Patterns, Urban Fields, and Decentralization Processes, 1960-1970
Published in Textbook Binding by Ballinger Pub Co (September, 1976)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $35.00
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Chicago: Transformations of an Urban System
Published in Paperback by Ballinger Pub Co (August, 1976)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $11.95
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City Classification Handbook: Methods and Applications
Published in Paperback by John Wiley & Sons (January, 1972)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $56.95
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Community development and regional growth in the sixties and seventies
Published in Unknown Binding by Ballinger Pub. Co. ()
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
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Contemporary Urban Ecology
Published in Textbook Binding by MacMillan Pub Co (August, 1969)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley, Berry
Amazon base price: $37.50
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Economic Geography: Resource Use, Locational Choices
Published in Hardcover by Prentice Hall (February, 1987)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley Berry
Amazon base price: $60.00
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Geographic Perspectives on Urban Systems With Integrated Readings
Published in Textbook Binding by Prentice Hall (January, 1970)
Author: Brian Joe Lobley, Berry
Amazon base price: $22.95
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